How to do my financial planning?

First off, there is no such thing as “financial planning”. There are many different types of plans depending on your needs and goals. You need to decide which type of plan best fits your current circumstances and then work backwards from there.

If you want to save up for retirement, start by calculating out exactly how old you will be when you retire and figure out how long you expect to live after retiring. Then calculate out how much income you’ll get per year during those years.

Once you’ve got an idea about how much money you’ll make each year, use these numbers to determine how much you need to put away every month until you reach your goal amount. This number may change over time based on inflation rates, tax changes, interest rate fluctuations, market conditions etc.. But at least you now have a starting point.

As far as websites go, I would recommend using Mint.com or Personal Capital. Both allow you to track your spending habits and see trends over time. They both give you access to tools like budgeting calculators and investment portfolios.

How is Financial Planning important?

Financial planning helps you avoid making bad decisions later down the road because you had all the information available to you before hand. It also gives you peace of mind knowing that you have done everything possible to prepare yourself financially for whatever life throws at you.

What kind of investments should I consider?

This depends entirely on your personal preferences and risk tolerance. The most common options include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. Some people prefer real estate while others choose gold/silver coins. Whatever option you select, just remember that investing involves risks.

Even though the markets fluctuate wildly today, historically speaking, they tend to stay relatively stable. That said, you still run into volatility from time to time. Whereas, if you invest in something like gold, silver or other precious metals, you won’t experience wild swings in value due to supply & demand issues.

There are two main categories of investments – Stocks and Bonds. Each has its own pros and cons. For example, stocks provide higher returns than fixed-income securities but carry more risk. Fixed Income provides lower yields than equities but less risk.

Investing in Stocks

Pros: Chances of Higher Returns

Cons: More Risk

Investing in Bonds

Pros: Lower volatility

Cons: Less Return

What are the components of a financial plan?

A financial plan includes:

  1. An understanding of where you stand with respect to debt, savings, and assets;
  2. A projection of future earnings and expenses;
  3. A calculation of what percentage of your annual salary goes towards taxes;
  4. A determination of whether you’re saving enough for retirement;
  5. A strategy for achieving your short term and long term goals;

1) Debt – How much do you owe? What’s your current balance? Are there any debts coming up soon? If so, when will they be paid off? Do you want to pay them off sooner rather than later?

2) Savings – Where does your money come from? Is it going somewhere else? Can you save more?

3) Assets – What are your assets worth right now? Have you saved anything recently? Has anyone given you an inheritance?

4) Taxes – How much tax do you need to pay each year? Will you get a refund next month?

5) Goals – What do you want out of life? Do you want to retire early? Save for college tuition? Buy a house? Travel the world? Pay off student loans? Start a business? All these things require different amounts of cash flow. You’ll also need to make sure you don’t spend too much.

How would someone go about getting started with financial planning?

Start by taking inventory of all your finances. This is called “financial fitness”. It helps you understand how well prepared you are financially. Once you know where you stand, then you can start making plans. Here are some steps to take:

Step 1 – Determine Your Current Financial Situation

Take a look at your monthly bills. Add everything together and divide by 12 months. Then multiply that number times 100%. The result should give you a rough idea of how much money you currently earn per hour. Divide that amount by 40 hours to determine how many years you’ve worked. Multiply that figure by $40/hour to find out how much you’d need to work full-time just to cover basic living costs. Now add up all your non-mortgage debt. Include credit card balances, car payments, etc. Also, include any outstanding medical bills. Finally, subtract your total net worth. That gives you your starting point.

Step 2 – Make a Plan

Use the information above as a guide. Decide if you want to increase your earning power through education or career advancement. Or maybe you want to cut back on spending. Maybe you want to invest in real estate. Whatever your goal may be, write down exactly what you intend to accomplish over the course of one year. Be realistic! Don’t expect to become rich overnight. But keep in mind that even small changes can have big results. For example, if you decide to put away 10% of your income every week instead of 5%, you could end up with thousands of dollars extra after five years.

Step 3 – Take Action

Once you’ve made your decision, set aside time to implement your plan. Write down specific dates and deadlines. And stick to those commitments. Remember, this isn’t easy stuff. So you’re not likely to succeed unless you really commit yourself.

What questions do you think we missed? Let us know in the comments below.

7 Ways to Manage Good and Easy Personal Finances

If you want to be rich, you have to be able to manage your personal finances well! It turns out that it is not complicated to be able to manage finances independently! Follow the method below!

Happy reading!

How to Manage Good Personal Finance is Easy

Everyone certainly hopes to have a significant income, but did you know that the most important thing is that you can enjoy it, right? It’s unfortunate if we have a large salary or income, let’s say above INR 20 million, but our debts and bills are more than 70 percent of our income, and we can’t save or invest.

Any amount of income will not guarantee the welfare of our lives if we do not manage sound personal finances. Even rich people will be stressed and frustrated if they don’t manage their finances and manage their income and expenses.

Financial problems will certainly make your head dizzy, and you can’t sleep. So before financial problems pile up, it’s better to fix one by one simple thing and move on to the next stage. Let’s follow these Seven ways in managing finances that will make your financial life better, even avoiding the trap of consumptive debt.

#1 Have Personal Financial Records

Without personal financial records, we will not be able to manage personal finances properly.

Personal financial records are instrumental. This is an essential step we have to take. If we don’t do this initial step well, even consistently, then our finances will still be messy and not well organized. By recording personal finances, we can track where the money we earn is spent.

In addition, we can find out what expenses we can reduce, or we need to increase the nominal according to need. Recording personal finances can also help design financial goals; we can find our financial strength to achieve our financial goals within a specific period.

For example, suppose we have a financial goal to buy a house with a mortgage of 300 million in the next five years. In that case, we can plan from now on by saving a minimum down payment of 30 percent, which is 90 million for a specific time, according to our financial capabilities.

Besides buying a house, what other financial goals can we achieve? Of course, the first step we have to do is to record personal finances.

#2 Create a Monthly Budget

In creating a monthly personal finance budget, here is a formula that you can use 40-30-20-10, in the form of a division:

  • Allocate 40 percent of your income for daily expenses, such as monthly bill fees, to daily shopping needs.
  • Next, allocate 30 percent of your income to pay off debt installments if you have one.
  • You can allocate 20 percent of your following income for investment savings for a better financial future.
  • Then, 10 percent of your income you allocate to donations, gifts, or charity.

Easy, right?

#3 Manage Expenditures Wisely

This is where the art of managing personal finances comes in. Everyone certainly has their strategy, including you, right?

The first expense we need to pay is taxes or deductions.

Usually, this tax will automatically be deducted from the salary for workers or employees each month to receive a net wage that the cost of paying taxes has deducted.

In addition, deductions for social security for workers have also been paid automatically.

The next expense that needs to be regulated in managing personal finances is donations or charity.

Usually, 5 to 10 percent of the income is received.

Furthermore, to build good financial strength, we need to prioritize savings through investment vehicles.

Saving in the bank alone is not enough. The average amount of interest received in one year is not comparable to the current monthly administrative discount, which is quite large, especially with the inflation rate increasing every year.

Therefore, it is highly recommended to invest through various investment instruments that are very profitable to build a personal finance printer and prepare for a better financial future.

From this investment savings, we can also increase our income by building a business from the investment income.

Thus, we will increase the financial income stream.

#4 Create an Emergency Fund from Investment Savings

An emergency fund is a significant fund to anticipate an emergency or urgent situation not to affect our financial condition.

There are many events or disasters that we cannot predict, so we need to have an emergency fund.

So, where can we collect emergency funds from? Did you know that we can collect emergency funds from investment savings funds?

Already know the number of emergency funds you have to prepare?

  • Usually, you need to collect six times the total expenditure per month for single or unmarried couples.
  • In contrast to those who are married but do not have dependent children. Ideally, they need to raise an emergency fund of 9 times their total monthly expenses.
  • Meanwhile, families with dependent children need to collect an emergency fund of 12 times their total monthly expenses .

#5 Have Health & Life Insurance

There are still many people who do not understand the usefulness and importance of having insurance.

They feel a loss because they have paid for insurance so far but have never received the benefits.

The question is: does anyone want to get sick or experience bad things? Insurance is used as an umbrella to protect us from rain or the scorching heat.

We don’t know when the rain will come, but we need to be prepared and on guard, correct?

Herein lies the importance of health and life insurance where we need to have it!

There are many benefits of having insurance, including:

  1. The insurance premiums we pay can pay for treatment or care.
  2. The insurance premiums we pay can protect assets and prevent loss of assets and debt.
  3. The insurance premiums we pay can replace installment payments and debts
  4. Increase funds for family needs.
  5. Can focus on healing

#6 Pay Debt or Installment

If you have debts or installments, prioritize them first to pay them off one by one.

To get accurate advice and solutions to get out of debt that binds you and makes it difficult for you to sleep, immediately contacts my Financial Planning Consultant that you can rely on!

Did you know that hiring the services of a financial planner or financial consultant is very expensive?

But, no need to drain your wallet just by subscribing to the Financial Application for one year at a subscription price of Rp. 350 thousand/year, you can consult with a Certified Financial Consultant and get the right solution on managing personal finances and how to get rid of confusing debts.

#7 Avoid Consumptive Debt

Consumer debt will make your wallet tighter. However, financial planners and financial experts agree that consumer debt is not recommended.

On the other hand, productive debt can increase your income; for example, you borrow some money for business capital from the bank or make a vehicle loan where the vehicle is used to work or make money.

 

Managing Personal Finance is Easy & Fun

It turns out that managing personal finances is fun and not complicated, right!

Keeping track of personal finances is not complicated, you know! We can be assisted with financial recording application services and apps, many of which are free.

These apps make it easier for us to record daily finances. Not only taking notes, but this application can also help calculate the costs that must be collected per month to achieve a financial goal.

We can also consult with a Certified Financial Planner. So don’t forget to immediately record expenses and income transactions that occur at the same time, so you don’t forget to register or miss them.

 

Investing in cryptocurrencies is it worth it?

There is hardly a week that the topic of investing in cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin or others does not come up in a conversation. Sometimes because they go up meteorically and others because they go down. There are opinions for all tastes.

Personally, I believe that we cannot ignore crypto assets or Bitcoin as if they did not exist. It would be a kind of denial of reality. It is a new type of asset, but one that falls within alternative investments. And as such, it can have a place in a portfolio to de-correlate, but for other reasons as well.

Investing in cryptocurrencies for the long term. My point of view

In my opinion, I think anyone could consider investing in cryptocurrencies for the long term. Obviously, not as a core investment asset of a portfolio, but as a complement or satellite investment.

As we have seen these weeks and in other moments, cryptocurrencies are a very volatile asset. Do not suitable for all audiences. Or of course, not suitable for a significant amount of money within our heritage.

But you can invest in cryptocurrencies with little money. For a $100,000 portfolio let’s say 1-5%. Depending on the ability to take risks and personal circumstances, I think that is the range of capital that I would assign to an estate of that amount. Each particular case would have to be seen.

If it goes wrong. Nothing that the global investment strategy sinks you. And if it goes well. Certainly, an asset to add alpha to the portfolio in the long term.

How to invest in cryptocurrencies

You have to look for a reliable and safe intermediary. With many users. Where you can contrast opinions and references of other people who have invested through these platforms.

The key, as always, is to diversify. Cryptocurrencies are still an unregulated asset, which is still surrounded by a lot of uncertainty. And when I talk about diversifying, I don’t just mean investing in different digital currencies. I also think about investing in 2 or 3 different brokerage platforms. Which can be brokers or directly specialized cryptocurrency platforms. I give you some examples.

Coinbase is perhaps the best-known platform, for having made the leap to the markets and starting to trade on the Nasdaq. It is one of the largest platforms. The volume of digital currencies traded on this platform is skyrocketing. Some say that you can end up dying of success. And the experiences of some clients have not been very good lately, due to the great collapse of new account openings that they have suffered recently. For that reason, it is not strange to read some bad opinions.

EToro –  If you are in Spain then an eToro ad is almost ubiquitous on YouTube video. They come on at all hours. This is a very popular platform for buying and selling stocks at zero cost, but also for trading cryptocurrencies. Personally, it is not the one I like the most. I prefer other more specialized ones.

Bitpanda – those who know about these new alternative investments say that Bitpanda is one of the best platforms to invest in cryptocurrencies, due to its reliability and security. It is by the way also, one of the platforms in which you can invest in precious metals with physical support. Not just annotation.Bitpanda investing in cryptocurrencies

Most cryptocurrency exchanges are preparing for the future leap to payments and have begun to offer cards with which to use digital currencies on a day-to-day basis.

And well, I could list many more cryptocurrency platforms or brokers such as Binance, Kraken, Bit2me, etc. There are quite a few wallets and exchanges. Here the key you have to look at is the differential between supply and demand that each applies. And then I would look at security a lot. Although that also depends on you as a user. But every time, news of robberies of digital currency warehouses is read. So be careful with passwords and security protocols.

Disadvantages of investing in cryptocurrencies

One of the worst things about any of the 6,000 digital currencies that you can invest in today is that you cannot calculate a fair value for it. Because they do not generate future flows. They are not backed by anything. They cannot be used (yet) in our day-to-day operations. It is simply the supply and demand that sets prices. That, and the tweets of an influential person. See Elon Musk.

This aspect makes cryptocurrencies a kind of long-term lottery ticket. Hence, yet another reason to diversify into different crypto assets.

It is not yet known how they will be regulated. If a digital currency has a virtue, it is that it is out of the control of central banks and traditional financial circuits. But that also makes them attractive as a hiding place for money from illicit activities.

It will end up being regulated, I’m sure. Regulatory development always lags behind innovation. At the time that money laundering control rules are put in place, it is regulated how to tax the profits in the sale of cryptocurrencies and the rest of legal varnishes, it will be one more asset, in which, probably, investment funds and others collective investment systems, can enter in a generalized way. And it will no longer be such an alternative market. Something that can happen in the next 3-5 years.

It is also unclear whether central banks will end up imposing their digital currencies ahead of Bitcoin, Ethereum and many others that have emerged from private initiatives. Some more serious than others. There is the risk, but also the opportunity. That is why I believe that investing in cryptocurrencies now that they have collapsed is a good time to sow for the future. The key: investing little money and diversification in every way.

Factors Influencing Adoption of Cryptocurrency in 2021

The issue of cryptocurrencies has many discrepancies since, just as many important figures promote these digital currencies, many others entirely oppose their development.

For this reason, many people wonder if cryptocurrencies are good long-term stores of value or if it is not worth investing in cryptocurrency. We will explain some factors that slow down the adoption of cryptocurrencies and the reasons that will allow their expansion.

Some think that cryptocurrencies are very speculative assets

It is not a secret that many do not like the idea of ​​cryptocurrencies since they feel that “they can threaten the monetary sovereignty of any country,” as mentioned by the senior advisor to the former director of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde.

Some crypto-skeptics believe that it is a highly speculative asset. Others think that it has been created solely for criminal purposes. Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, warns that when buying cryptocurrencies, all the money invested will be lost.

Many say that cryptocurrency is still the future.

But, just as the price of Bitcoin fell considerably, after a few days, it began to rise and was recovering some value, reaching around 36 thousand dollars. This is how many promoters of cryptocurrencies assure that, although this famous digital currency has collapsed, it will recover its value over time for various reasons and will become an excellent long-term investment opportunity.

Jack Dorsey, CEO of Twitter and Square, thinks that Bitcoin cannot be stopped by anything or anyone, like Changpeng Zhao, CEO of Binance, who feels that cryptocurrencies exist to offer greater “money freedom.”

Some known as investment giants believe that Bitcoin is an asset to invest in, just as Goldman Sachs said.

Institutional support has grown.

One of the reasons that cryptocurrencies continue to be the future is the increase in investments by institutions. In addition, there will be more and more tools that will facilitate the management of the cryptocurrency system, and there will be more offers that will benefit users.

All of these seem to be reasons enough to attract more users in the long term. In fact, in Latin America, there has been increased adoption of cryptocurrencies, especially in the first four months of the year; And although it is barely recovering from the last drop, experts say it will soon reach mass adoption.

The easyMarkets broker was recently surprised with the launch of a new μBTC account, with which its users can deposit and trade CFDs with cryptocurrencies on all the assets that the broker has to offer.

The μBTC account automatically creates a Bitcoin wallet address, allowing easyMarkets users to deposit, trade quickly, and withdraw Bitcoin funds when they see a convenient transaction.

Factors that slow down the adoption of cryptocurrencies

Apart from crypto-skeptical people, a part of the population is still very uninformed and does not dare to invest in cryptocurrencies because they do not know how it works and their benefits.

Other reasons that slow down the adoption of cryptocurrencies are the numerous regulations and restrictions by many governments on financial institutes and companies that wish to operate with cryptocurrencies.

In addition, the significant volatility of Bitcoin generates a lot of distrust since, just as you can earn twice the amount invested in a short time, you can also lose half of the fund. As happened in previous weeks, after reaching a historical record with a value of over $ 60,000 in April, its price fell to $ 30,000 in May.

Why So Many Investors Fail

Conservative estimates place it around 70%… while others believe it is closer to 95%… the number of investors who “fail.”  I suppose it shouldn’t shock us… after all, whenever you talk with a Mutual Fund representative, if they’re doing well, they will point you to the fact that they are in the 1st or 2nd Quartile – meaning, the fund they manage has returned more than 75% or 50% of the other fund managers’ portfolios.  Obviously, there must be several then who are in the 3rd or 4th Quartiles (the bottom).Why so many investors fail 1Why so many investors fail 2

There are several reasons why investors fail and today I thought I’d share a few more.

It’s perplexing… the number of investors who continually lose money trading, but for some inexplicable reasons, continue to trade.  I suppose a variety of reasons exist, including poor money management (high commissions on small positions eat away at any profits), the delusion they have the skills and knowledge to trade (after all, isn’t everyone else getting it?), or addiction to trading (like gambling, just “sanctified.”).

Some, in sheer frustration, choose to pay hundreds and even thousands of dollars for trading software that promises every success… so they get split screens, subscribe to live news feeds, etc. and still struggle to make money trading. Then they flood their email inboxes with a plethora of free newsletters… worth every penny!

I’m not slamming these individuals… after all, most of us have had experiences like these somewhere along the line. But I am concerned for you if this is your current experience… and I’d like to help.

I think one of the most fundamental reasons why investors fail and why people are losing money in the stock market is because they are trading rather than investing.  Perhaps this is so subtle you think I’m trying to create something out of nothing… but hear me out for just a moment.  When you think of the term “trading”, what comes to mind?  A transaction, a swap, buying and selling, dealing, etc.

Now, when you consider the term “investing” what comes to mind?  Yes, some of the same elements of purchasing and transaction but with an added component of you having to “put something into” the transaction.  Investing seems to require more than to merely trade.  And you’d be right…

If making money in the markets was as easy as trading this stock for that one, and then exchanging it again for another one, we’d all be successful… but very few do this well.  Instead, the average Weekend Investor needs to do less “trading” and more “investing.”  You’re going to have to put something extra into the transaction… considering the fundamentals of a stock, watching the technical indicators, and keeping track of your “investments” because these investments of time, work, thought, consideration, management, etc. will all determine how successful you’ll be as a financial investor.

I realize most of you don’t have the time to do this on your own… hence, you should stop trading and simply buy the index when you have the money you can spare.

5 Ways to Manage Market Risk

Doctor Stock has experienced some excellent trading success so far. Much of that success is due to his disciplined use of market risk management techniques. In his quest to help you make money on the markets every morning, he has often emphasized the need to balance risk vs. reward.

There are many ways that traders and investors can manage market risk in their portfolios. Here’s a sampling of 5 of the most common ones:

Momentum

The trend is your friend until it ends. This is a crucial component of Doctor Stock’s strategy, and he tracks it for you at the top right corner of this site. It’s tough to make money by anticipating a change in trend. It’s better to wait for the turn and buy once it’s confirmed. “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” That trading axiom, coined by economist John Maynard Keynes, has become a cliché for a good reason. Many a trader has gone bankrupt fighting the tape.

Stop-Loss Orders

I know that Doctor Stock makes fair use of these as well. Before you enter a position, it’s essential to know when you will exit. You can set one or more profit targets, but it’s even more important to limit your losses. A stop-loss order or trailing stop can help you do just that. There are tons of ways to choose a stop loss level, from percentages, trend lines, and moving averages to the true average range or simple dollar amounts. You need to find the method that works for you and your trading psychology. It’s less important how you use them. It’s more important that you use them. Set a stop loss level before you trade and stick to it.

Position Sizing

One way to limit the amount of market risk you take is to limit the amount of money you invest. If you are placing a highly speculative trade, or one in which you have less confidence, you may want to limit your risk by taking a smaller than normal position. Similarly, if you are uncertain about market momentum, it may be wise to trade smaller until a more well-defined trend emerges. Always set rules for yourself on the maximum amount of money you are willing to risk on each trade as a percentage of your total investable capital.

Diversification

You’ve heard about this one before. It’s essential to diversify your capital by investing it in asset classes that aren’t correlated with one another. Unfortunately, there are times (like the recent market crash) where most asset classes move in unison. That’s why it’s important to keep at least some liquid cash on hand. There are many different ways to diversify your holdings: geographically, by asset class, sector, market capitalization, and many others. The key is to put your eggs in a few different baskets so that if one company, region, or asset class gets destroyed, your losses will be limited.

Rebalancing:

This strategy pertains more to market risk management for investors as opposed to traders. Many traders only actively trade a portion of their capital. They invest the rest of it (often their retirement funds) more conservatively, with a longer time horizon in mind. One risk management strategy for investors is to set an asset allocation (50% stocks, 30% bonds, and 20% cash, for example) and rebalance it periodically. If the equity portion of your portfolio has performed very well and it now constitutes 60% of your holdings, you would sell some of those holdings to bring your allocation back to 50%.
If your bond holdings have performed poorly and now makeup only 25% of your portfolio, you might consider buying more to rebalance your bond allocation. This is one way to buy low and sell high automatically.

Disciplined market risk management, in whichever form(s) you choose to implement, is the key to successful investing and trading. What kinds of strategies do you use to manage risk?

Book Review: The Investor’s Manifesto

William Bernstein says that he wrote The Investor’s Manifesto: Preparing for Prosperity, Armageddon and Everything in Between even though he swore he would never write another book after The Four Pillars of Investing (read my review) because, in his view, the dramatic market developments of 2008-09 provided a perfect “teachable” moment to clearly define a set of timeless investment principles.

In this book, Mr. Bernstein starts off with an overview of financial theory illustrated with relevant bits of financial history, then takes readers on a tour of the behavioral traps they might stumble into and concludes with the mechanics of building a portfolio. If this synopsis sounds familiar, it is because Four Pillars dealt with similar themes: the theory, history, psychology, and business of investing.Book review: the investor's manifesto 3Book review: the investor's manifesto 4

As you might expect of a brilliant writer like Mr. Bernstein, his writing is so quotable. Here are some examples:

Investors cannot earn high returns without occasionally bearing great loss. If the investor desires safety, then he or she is doomed to receive low returns”.

… the rewards of equity ownership are paid for in the universal currencies of financial risk: stomach acid and sleepless nights.

Much has been made lately of “black swans”: rare and supposedly unexpected events that roil society and the financial markets. In the world of finance, the only black swans are the history that investors have not read.

You are not as good looking, as charming, or as good a driver as you think you are. The same goes for your investing abilities. In an environment filled with incredibly smart, hard-working, and well-informed participants, the smartest trading strategy is not to trade at all.

Mr. Bernstein is a wise investor and talented writer and while The Investor’s Manifesto is a very good book, I feel that it doesn’t quite achieve the brilliance that The Four Pillars did. If you’ve read the previous book, you can re-read it and safely skip this one. If you haven’t read Four Pillars, perhaps that’s the Bernstein book you should be reading. The Investor’s Manifesto is published by John Wiley.

Book Review: The Four Pillars of Investing

William Bernstein, a practicing physician, has written an excellent guide to invest (affiliate link) that contains important (as the sub-title says) “lessons for building a winning portfolio”. The Four Pillars of Investing that the title refers to are theory, history, psychology, and business of investing.Book review: the four pillars of investing 5Book review: the four pillars of investing 6

Often, books on investing are dry, and reading them is a bit like working through a dense textbook, but fortunately, this scholarly book is not one of them. Even the driest theoretical concepts are illustrated with historical examples.

In the section on history, Dr. Bernstein tells the tales of bubbles and busts past and present and points out that lack of historical knowledge hurts investors the most. I realized that this is an area I need to learn more about and helpfully, the author provides a list of useful books in Chapter 11 (no pun intended). The book concludes with practical ideas for assembling your portfolio.

I can’t hope to do a better job of summing up the contents of this book than the author himself:

The overarching message of this book is at once powerful and simple: With relatively little effort, you can design and assemble an investment portfolio that, because of its wide diversification and minimal expense, will prove superior to most professionally managed accounts. Great intelligence and good luck are not required. The essential characteristics of the successful investor are the discipline and stamina to, in the words of John Bogle, “stay the course”.

I think “The Four Pillars of Investing” is worth reading and would also make a nice addition to your bookshelf (I am adding it to my list of recommended books).

How to Spot a Multibagger

A Multibagger in stock market parlance is a stock that can return multifold returns when invested in it. The holy grail of investing is to identify such multibaggers and hold them in your investment portfolio.

To spot a multibagger needs a thorough study of multiple fundamental parameters, a few of which are listed in this article. Please note. However, we cannot be rigid on any of these parameters. We need to be flexible to interpret things from a bigger picture point of view.How to spot a multibagger 7How to spot a multibagger 8

So what are these parameters of a multibagger stock that we should look for?

No doubt about business survival.

Identifying a  multibagger begins with identifying a business that can weather the test of time. Whether there be a health crisis, economic crisis, or political crisis, these businesses should not have any difficulty in surviving. When I was young, my father told me that to survive, humanity will always need food and consistently invest in promising companies that cater to the hunger of the masses.

There are many other businesses, apart from those in the food industry that can survive and thrive in adverse circumstances. The health sector is one; the information and technology sector is another. There may be sectors that will come up in the future; you may be aware of them due to your line of work. Look into those businesses.

Visible & sustainable growth potential

Most businesses are not built because the management wanted them to remain stationary. Entrepreneurs and management want a steady and sustainably growing business. Look for companies that are growing at a fair clip with good management. 

A management team that continuously innovates and optimizes its core business should provide profitable growth for investments in the company. A management team that is not focused is a poor innovator, and does not optimize resources, may give spectacular returns in the short term, but may not be able to sustain in the long run. Such businesses usually do not provide multibagger returns.

Management has a vision of growth.

Identifying potential in future markets is a must for any good management. The company should not bask in the past and should be forward-looking to identify the ideal growth opportunities. The management should be ethical and provide adequate consideration for every stakeholder.

Reasonable Promoter stake

There should be fair skin in the game from the promoter.  Many successful investors avoid companies that have a very low promoter stake. Ideally, the promoter should have at least a 50% holding in the company, and the higher this number, the better it is, and the likelier it is to end up as a multibagger. If in case there is a low promoter stake, then promoters should increase stake at every possible opportunity. Also, pledging should either be zero or minimal.

How to spot a multibagger 9Debt zero or going towards zero

Debt is becoming a dirtier word at the individual as well as at the corporate level. A Debt to equity ratio of less than 0.5 should be an ideal investment; however, do remember that smaller companies that are growing fast may not always be debt light—most of the time, the lower the debt, the better the valuations.How to spot a multibagger 10

Increasing cash flow

At the most fundamental level, a company’s ability to create value for shareholders is determined by its ability to generate positive cash flows, or more specifically, maximize long-term free cash flow (FCF). If the cash flow of a company is increasing, it means that the company is growing well and can use the amount to grow itself further.

Rare equity dilution

The lesser the equity dilution, the better will be the valuations. Stock dilution, also known as equity dilution, is the decrease in existing shareholders’ ownership percentage of a company due to the company issuing new equity. New equity increases the total shares outstanding, which have a dilutive effect on the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. Management should avoid equity dilution at all times. To improve the liquidity, equity dilution is suitable sometimes; however, it should be only when the proportionate growth is visible.

Reasonable dividend

If the company is showing earnings of 100 & giving dividend equivalent of just ten or less, it raises more doubts on such companies before building conviction. There should be an acceptable dividend policy; however, if the profits are being used to improve the business quality further or for capacity expansion, fewer dividends may be sufficient.

Low PE

Lower the price-earnings multiple, better multiple returns potential in the future. With the growth in earnings & with every new milestone achievement, PE gets re-rated, and then there is usually a multiplier effect on the stock price.

Association with a brand

If the company has its growing reputation or is associated with some client who itself is a brand, that’s a big positive.

In conclusion, do remember that these are just a few aspects to spot a multibagger. Many stocks may not fit into any or all of these parameters. An example is Bajaj Finance, which has proven to be a massive compounder despite not checking many of the boxes like Debt, Environment risk, or having Low PE. It is essential to be flexible when looking at the fundamentals of the stock before investing in it. If you are a retail investor, keep some basic things in mind as follows:

1. Why you are investing – invest with a goal and plan.
2. Time frame – you may be better off in debt instruments or bonds for a short time frame.
3. Knowledge of the company/industries – stick to your circle of competence.
4. Risk and Reward ratio – Never invest without learning the risk associated with the particular investment.
5. Stock price is affected by market condition/Govt policy, so keep updated – especially true of highly regulated sectors.
6. Keep part profit booking/average – you can do this downwards or upwards.

Asset Location Is As Important As Asset Allocation

The science of asset allocation gets a lot of attention in the personal finance realm, but it only tells part of the story. In an ideal world, there would be no taxes or transaction costs, so that asset allocation would be the only game in town. You’d simply divide your portfolio between the various asset classes and forget about it.

Rebalancing would be a non-issue because there would be no tax consequences, and you wouldn’t have to worry about which account is most suitable for your small-cap value fund. If you have all of your retirement savings in your 401K or an IRA substantially, you can get away with doing that. Unfortunately for the rest of us, Uncle Sam wants his cut.

Nobody Loves The IRS

Excepting congress, which needs enormous sums of tax dollars for important projects like building bridges to nowhere and llama farms for orphan llamas, nobody likes the IRS. I am no exception, and if you too share my raw hatred of the IRS, you would be wise to think long and hard about asset location.

Asset location is the art of placing different asset classes in various types of accounts, depending on a combination of the tax-efficiency of that asset class and the tax characteristics of the kind of account in question.

Here’s an example to make what I just said make sense.

Suppose you have a target asset allocation for your retirement portfolio of 50% stocks and 50% bonds. Furthermore, about half of that portfolio is in your 401K at work, and half is in either a regular taxable account or a Roth IRA. The best course of action would be to put the bonds in your 401K and stocks in your taxable account or Roth. The reason for this is that bond interest is taxed as regular income and stock dividends, and long-term capital gains are taxed at lower capital-gains rates. Since everything in your 401K will eventually be taxed at standard income tax rates when you liquidate, putting stocks in it would amount to intentionally paying more taxes than necessary.

In contrast, bond interest is taxed as income, so you lose nothing by putting them in your 401K. Proper asset location can make a huge difference in your long-term returns, so it’s well worth paying attention to.

Here is a list of asset classes and the optimal type of account they should be placed in, if possible.

Least tax-efficient

place in a tax-deferred account (401k, traditional IRA, etc.)

High-yield bonds
TIPS
Taxable Bonds

Medium tax-efficiency

place in a tax-free account (Roth IRA, Roth 401k)

REITs
Balanced Funds
Small-cap stock funds
Actively-managed stock funds
Value stock funds
International Stock funds

Most tax-efficient

fine to place in a taxable account

Broadly diversified stock index funds
Tax-managed stock funds
I/EE savings bonds
Tax-exempt municipal bonds